fantasy football first pick strategy

But dont be afraid to double down at the running back position even if you already drafted a stud in Round 1. Rankings are not the be-all and end-all in fantasy football drafting. Especially if Hardman and Lazard can ascend to the top of their teams respective depth charts. However, its essential to draft at least one running back in the first two rounds because the talent pool starts to fall off at the start of Round 3. Last-Minute Fantasy Football Advice for Week 14 (2022), Fantasy Football Week 14 Rankings: Freedman & Fitz (2022), Week 14 Sunday Night Football Showdown DFS Primer (Dolphins at Chargers), Fantasy Football Injury Updates: DK Metcalf, Diontae Johnson, Damien Harris, DeeJay Dallas (2022), Fantasy Football Injury Updates: Trevor Lawrence, Amari Cooper, Kenneth Walker III, Saquon Barkley (2022), NFL Week 14 Player Prop Bet Odds, Picks & Predictions (2022), No, I'm a California resident looking for the California Consumer Privacy Act form. There's much more receiver depth early in the third round. Drafting in rounds 4 and 5Im looking almost strictly at wide receivers in the 46-48 and 49-51 range in the fourth and fifth rounds. Typically, as a slightly more conservative player earlier on in drafts, I will tend to take Taylor over McCaffrey just because I will factor in the injuries as a tiebreaker. From 2018 to 2020, in PPR scoring, wide receivers have the highest percentage of top-12 finishes (55%). Its an even better strategy in best ball formats, Last-Minute Fantasy Football Advice for Week 14 (2022), Fantasy Football Week 14 Rankings: Freedman & Fitz (2022), Week 14 Sunday Night Football Showdown DFS Primer (Dolphins at Chargers), Fantasy Football Injury Updates: DK Metcalf, Diontae Johnson, Damien Harris, DeeJay Dallas (2022), Fantasy Football Injury Updates: Trevor Lawrence, Amari Cooper, Kenneth Walker III, Saquon Barkley (2022), NFL Week 14 Player Prop Bet Odds, Picks & Predictions (2022), No, I'm a California resident looking for the California Consumer Privacy Act form. From our Start/Sit Assistant which provides your optimal lineup based on accurate consensus projections to our Waiver Wire Assistant, which allows you to quickly see which available players will improve your team and how much weve got you covered this fantasy football season. The point is, in these first four picks, make sure that you get your running back. And Ekeler had a phenomenal season in 2021 thanks to a career-high number of carries, but hes come out and said he wants a reduced workload going forward.It's vital to come away with a high-end running back early in your draft because the top 12 players at the position will be long gone by the time your second-round pick comes along. The wide receiver position is deep in 2022. If you still havent drafted a tight end, Kyle Pitts is your guy here in Round 3. My general philosophy is to wait on quarterbacks, but if you want a top-tier passer likeJosh Allen, Kyler Murrayor Dak Prescott (Patrick Mahomesmay already be gone by this point), then you can't wait for a value that feels right. Drafting in rounds 3 and 4Speaking of the end of the third, which players are we looking at there? If Mixon (or Cook) isnt available when its time to draft in the first, get a dominant receiver and address running back a few picks later with one of Swift or Chubb. This is a very good position from which to draft a quarterback at the 3-4 turn. Drafting in rounds 1 and 2The players currently going 10-12 by ADP in order are Joe Mixon, Davante Adams and Stefon Diggs. Now just a few picks after landing your RB1 or WR1, youre back on the clock in the 13-15 range. Just because there is a huge run at a position, it does not mean you select a player who is a reach, or in a huge tier group, where someone in that tier will make it back to you. Picking at the front of a round, you can often find yourself at the end of position runs. Formulate your fantasy football plan of attack with draft strategies when selecting from the 5th to 8th positions. If you went with a running back in Round 1, consider whoever remains from the Tier 2 wide receivers Stefon Diggs, Davante Adams, CeeDee Lamb, A.J. I have him tabbed as my comeback player in my fantasy forecast after he was plagued by injuries in 2021. From 2018 to 2020, in PPR scoring, wide receivers have the highest percentage of top-12 finishes (55%). Here's the chalk. When looking at the best and worst draft positions in fantasy football this season, picking near the end of the first round really stands out.Picking right at the turn (No. Try it for yourself using the mock draft simulator. When attempting to put together the perfect fantasy football draft in 2022, Baltimore Ravens TE Mark Andrews, who led all tight ends in fantasy points last season, is a great Round 2 option. Sure, there are always first-round surprises, especially in home leagues, but you can go into that first pick with a pretty good idea of what you will do. As for Hall? However, its impossible to ignore the high-end target share that Kelce will command in the Chiefs offense after they traded Tyreek Hill. Mixon finished as the RB4 a season ago and played 16 games for the second time in his career; Adams was the WR2 and his discount is a result of the change of scenery (and quarterback) going from Green Bay to Las Vegas; and Diggs was the WR7 in what felt like a down year for him. SPORTS ILLUSTRATED is a registered trademark of ABG-SI LLC. You are not Nostradamus. Thats where well find the next breakout at the position. That trend continued in 2021, when seven of the top-12 overall finishers (58%) were WRs, with six finishing top-eight. Fantasy Football Draft Strategies: First Five Picks Drafting 7-8-9. The cleverly coined Superhero RB approach sets you up nicely with two locked-and-loaded studs in your two starting RB spots. Ideally, after Round 2, you have an RB-RB or RB-WR set up. Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Spotify | Google Podcasts | Stitcher | SoundCloud | iHeartRadio. Does Goedert or Knox have any realistic shot at being a top-three TE? This time, its time to review how you tackle the dreaded and most pressured spot in drafts. Also, the middle rounds are chock-full of wide receiver talent, which should be the primary focus. The fantasy football debates surrounding the No. 3 option. Mid-tier receivers score more points in PPR leagues than mid-tier RBs. Brown will be the true No. The unicorn running back averaged 29.6 touches per game seven more than the next closest running back before his injury. Having those four gives me upside and consistency in the hardest position to manage in fantasy. Andrew Erickson (@AndrewErickson_) August 4, 2022. You can plan to gozero-RB or robust-RB, but there could be a reason to change your strategy based on the players available. However, after JT and CMC, it is fair game to select an elite wideout. I'm starting with picks 14. You can also strategically begin positions runs if a position tier is running low. This approach makes staying fluid and flexible for the next few rounds much easier. This allows you to adjust your strategy and determine the best path to winning your There are pros and cons for each player. Also commanded the most end-zone targets in the NFL (25) 6 more than the next (Jefferson). But if you can weather the storm and assemble a receiver room of Diggs, Waddle and Johnson, three of the top 13 receivers in 2021, thats a formidable force to build your roster around. So get your studs early and wait till the later rounds to take shots on backs in ambiguous backfields. You're going to need six or seven good running backs and wide receivers combined so I want my best dart throws aimed at them in the early rounds. But their odds of returning value increase dramatically in the PPR-scoring format. Its impossible to have an exact fantasy football draft strategy without knowing which pick you're starting with. I don't like Amari Cooper, Marquise Brown or Amon-Ra St. Brown. Moore, Cooper Kuppand Adam Thielenare all going in this range and make for very capable WR2s. But beware of the hit rate early in the draft: None of the top-five players by ADP in 2021 recouped their draft value.Its tough sledding, but running back is still the way to go here. Here, I'm praying Brandin Cooks, Chris Godwin or Mike Williams fall in my lap if I want a receiver. You can also fill one of those needs and add an elite tight end or blink first and take the quarterback of your dreams. window.PLAYERCARDS_CONFIG={affiliateCode:"fpros_cards"}; Copyright 2010- FantasyPros.com Matt De LimasDrafting 1-3 Final Takeaways: The quarterback and tight end positions have the most parity beyond the first tier. If, for some reason, youve avoided running backs up to this point or the other drafters went extremely receiver-heavy through the first three rounds, dont shy away from another stud running back if one falls with zero-RB all the rage nowadays. 5 pick in 2022? But I still prefer to secure a top-12 back since there wont be one left by the end of the third. It's critical to understand the positional scoring disparities for your league. 3 and 4 are the first fork in the road. Solidifying running backs in Rounds 1 and 2 also helps you avoid reaching on running backs in the upcoming RB Dead Zone, where your primary focus should be pounding WRs poised for significant leaps in 2022. One of McClure's top NFL DFS picks for Week 13 is Bengals wide receiver Tee Higgins at $7,200 on DraftKings and $8,300 on FanDuel. It goes without saying its important you nail these picks. On Lindy's Leans, Likes & Locks for Wednesday (8/31), Eric Lindquist goes over his best MLB bets, and gives his favorite MLB betting picks and predictions for Wednesday, August 31th. If you still havent drafted a tight end,Kyle Pittsis your guy here at the end of Round 3 or the start of Round 4. When attempting to put together the perfect fantasy football draft in 2022 for pick Nos. The next quarterback off the board (Patrick Mahomes, ever heard of him?) Lets call it a stretch goal and strive for fantasy football glory. This is less so the move in half-PPR formats because receivers cant make up ground versus running backs as easily without being rewarded a full point per reception. Lets take a look at our perfect fantasy football draft strategy. Since Week 10, the Rams have allowed the third-most fantasy points per game to perimeter wide receivers. Copyright 2010- FantasyPros.com The three receivers I like in this range are Jaylen Waddle, Diontae Johnson and Michael Pittman Jr., in that order. Here is the mock draft results: Nows the time to try your new secret weapon for your draft:Draft Intel! Do Not Sell My Personal Information. Are you kidding? Drafting in the back half of round 1 means the premium tier of running backs will likely be off of the board. I will share my thoughts and I'll hand it over to my editor, Matt De Lima, to chime in with his opinions to put a bow on it. The First Question you should ask yourself is what position you should pick. #11 Pick - Fantasy Football Draft Guide 11 th Pick: When you are sitting back this far in the first round, its just a matter of seeing which one of your best available players falls to Formulate your fantasy football plan of attack with draft strategies when selecting from the 5th to 8th positions. You're looking to strike on an upside play in this range. It could contribute one or two extra wins. Well, this is the Jets offense we're talking about, and Michael Carter was no slouch last season.In terms of ADP, there's a bit of a dead zone for quarterbacks between the top three of Allen, Mahomes and Justin Herbert and QB4 Lamar Jackson, who's going right at the top of the fifth. Themost valuable player in fantasy footballis an elite running back. If receivers are thin at this point, I don't mind reaching a bit for Allen Robinson. Whether its best ball or redraft fantasy football, the golden standard approach of selecting a running back with your first-round pick has not changed. He was Mr. It wasnt one I was chasing or had in my mind. After careful consideration based on a full fantasy football draft strategy, you have to grab a Running back in round 1. Julio Jones, Chris Godwin, D.J. Drafting in rounds 2 and 3Some of my favorite players are going around the 2-3 turn in a 12-team draft, and a few of them can be found at a steep discount from where they were going just one year ago. As you start laying these players down you'll see conflicts in rounds where you're trying to fit two picks in. You don't currently have any notifications. But their odds of returning value increase dramatically in the PPR-scoring format. Especially as I have to manage bye week cover with my wide receivers. The Big three wide receiver tier Justin Jefferson, JaMarr Chaseand Cooper Kupp are strong bets to meet Round 1 production without the cost. That did mean selecting Brandin Cooks became a necessity while preparing to wait for Darnell Mooney (ADP 71) or Rashod Bateman (ADP 93) at pick 72. First-Round Draft Pick Advice & Strategy. is going a full round after Allen. There are opportunities to pick tight ends and a quarterback in the first five rounds, which could land fantasy managers San Francisco 49ers TE George Kittle and Baltimore Ravens QB Lamar The goal of every fantasy football manager is to complete the perfect draft. I like the RB-WR-WR-RB-WR approach, but the WR-RB-WR/QB-RB-WR works as well. Then I can go QB-TE in the seventh and eighth which means I could have, say, Dallas Goedert or Dawson Knox paired with Wilson, Brady, Rodgers or Stafford. And the same could be said for McCaffreys workloads in 2018 and 2019, which led to injury-plagued seasons in 2020 and 2021. They dont have any reason to not feature him and there are no indications that they are going to stop with him due $15M this season. Josh Allen is probably there around 24, but can you take him over Leonard Fournette, Aaron Jones or Mike Evans? The temptation to go rogue on a QB or TE is strong with guys like Pitts and Mahomes here who are just so much more exciting than the RBs I listed above. CEH might face competition from Ronald Jones, same goes for Harris with Rhamondre Stevenson, Dillon with Aaron Jones and Sanders with the entire running back room and Jalen Hurts. I don't know that Allen is worth the rub compared to what's available there. Matt De Limas drafting 10-12 final takeaways: After six rounds, I really want 3RB-3WR. The Bills QB and MVP favorite was the top scorer at the position in 2021, and he'll have to repeat to make his ROI worthwhile. The surprise came at the 2/3 turn. This PPR mock draft gives insight as to how you do have to reach a few spots in ADP in order to complete the roster build you desire. This approach makes staying fluid and flexible for the next few rounds much easier. You don't currently have any notifications. Kyle Wood. 2 or even No. In Round 2, you're hoping Diggs is still there. Some names with ADPs in that range: Terry McLaurin, DK Metcalf, DJ Moore, Mike Williams and Brandin Cooks. If you don't want one of these top six guys, you should feel comfortable waiting a few more rounds or more to take a tight end. Draft Pick Draft StrategiesPicks: 1 to 4 | Picks 5 to 8 | Picks 9 to 12. Kyle Wood,Matt De Lima 8/2/2022. You can sit here and land a solid receiver to fill in at flex, like Terry McLaurin, DK Metcalf or D.J. Takeaways from drafting from picks 1 to 3With wide receiver ADPs rising in the early rounds, it's entirely possible to land your top running back targets in the first two rounds and table any further thoughts about the position until receiver and quarterback are addressed. You dont actually know anything. If there's a run on running backs early in your draft and for some reason, you can't land one of those RB targets, double up at receiver and wait on a running back. If, for some reason, youve avoided running backs up to this point or the other drafters went extremely receiver-heavy through the first three rounds, dont shy away from another stud running back if one falls with zero-RB all the rage nowadays. Be aware of ADP based on where you are drafting. I like Harris but I prefer Stevenson at his ADP 108. The receivers in the pick 25 range are strong WR1 options, too:Keenan Allen, A.J. However, both those guys went, as did Amon-Ra St. Brown. Kelce is probably gone by Round 2 and Mark Andrews is too rich for my blood around pick No. Lets call it a stretch goal and strive for fantasy football glory. Drafting in round 1. The top-12 running backs will be off the board,Travis Kelcewill be gone, and the run on receivers will be in full swing. Kyle Wood. Who are we looking at here? The goal of every fantasy football manager is to complete the perfect draft. But dont be afraid to double-down at the running back position even if you already drafted a stud in Round 1. Top NFL DFS picks for Bills vs. Patriots. Just be sure there are not any better options at WR, because you are paying a premium for a player on the Atlanta Falcons. Current ADP numbers tell us Travis Kelce, Swift and Nick Chubb are being drafted early in the second. Therefore, from a value standpoint, I come out well ahead. So youve drafted RB in Round 1, therefore I disagree with Kyle on his RB-TE inclinations in these spots. Dillon but I'd rather have taken a RB in the previous round like Hall or Etienne. The first two picks are chalk:Christian McCaffrey and Dalvin Cook, in that order. Mark Andrews just capped off the first All-Pro campaign of his career with career-high receiving marks, and there are even more targets to be had for him in Baltimore after the Ravens moved on from Marquise Brown (I wrote about how Andrews could be in line for more work as a result of that trade here). The Tennessee Titans running back led the position in fantasy PPR points per game (23.4) through eight weeks and bested his 2020 2,000-yard campaign by more than 2.5 PPR points per game. Let's address the second route: Addressing either RB or WR and getting a premium player at TE or QB. 1 in Arizona until DeAndre Hopkins returns from his six-game suspension, Jeudy and Sutton will both benefit from a massive quarterback upgrade in Denver and if St. Brown builds on his rookie campaign, you wont want to miss out on it. Mahomes and Herbert are tempting here, but when you can wait 5-plus rounds and still end up with Russell Wilson, Tom Brady or Aaron Rodgers; I just don't see the rush. I had a tier of nine wide receivers I could have taken. From our Start/Sit Assistant which provides your optimal lineup based on accurate consensus projections to our Waiver Wire Assistant which allows you to quickly see which available players will improve your team and by how much weve got you covered this fantasy football season. You have 13 weeks to find a good tight end and you only need one in your starting lineup. From our Start/Sit Assistant which provides your optimal lineup based on accurate consensus projections to our Waiver Wire Assistant which allows you to quickly see which available players will improve your team and by how much weve got you covered this fantasy football season. Takeaways from drafting from picks 10 to 12Generally speaking, these are great draft positions from which to load up on wide receivers. I really like Keenan Allen at the start of round three. According to current average draft position trends, the top running backs will usually come off the board with the first four or five picks and will be followed by a quick run of the top receivers. Jonathan Taylor; Christian McCaffrey; Austin Ekeler; Dalvin Cook; Round-By-Round Draft Strategy. Use of this site constitutes acceptance of our Terms of Use and Privacy Policy, Fabiano's Top 10 Fantasy Quarterbacks for 2022, Best Fantasy Big Play Bonus Scoring Players. Expanding the ADP scope a bit opens the door for Jaylen Waddle, Diontae Johnson and Michael Pittman Jr., all of whom have ADPs higher than 36. Were here to help you prepare. Brown, Mike Evans, and Tee Higgins. The point differentials between the best and what you'd end up after waiting on a QB and TE are not that significant. Stefon Diggs is one of Andrew Ericksons players to target at the end of the first round of fantasy drafts. I like the RB-TE route considering receiver is an increasingly deep position, which youll see when filling out your mock drafts. However, its impossible to ignore the high-end target share that Kelce will command in the Chiefs offense after they traded Tyreek Hill. The 2022 NFL season is approaching, which means its time to prepare for your fantasy football draft. The world is your oyster at the turn.Let's dive into the first option: filling your need at RB2 and finding your WR1. Whereas someone like Elijah Mitchell is likely to be significantly more productive than Clyde Edwards-Helaire and Tony Pollard for example. Fantasy Football Draft Strategies: First Six Picks Drafting 9th to 12th Formulate your fantasy football plan of attack with draft strategies when selecting from the 9th to 12th Because of the large gaps between your pick groupings, youre especially subject to missing out on positional runs from these draft slots. Brown, Allen Robinson, Terry McLaurin, Robert Woodsand CeeDee Lamb. And even if you happen to be correct that Player X is much better than Player Y, injuries and suspensions still happen. The only thing you can control is providing your roster with a balance that makes sense within your scoring system. Although, of course, it wasnt so long ago that the elite tier of WRs like Davante Adams, Julio Jones, DeAndre Hopkinsand Antonio Brown were drafted in the top half of Round 1. Jonathan Taylor is the consensus 1.01 after romping for more than 2,000 total yards and 20 touchdowns in 2021. I don't mind taking Travis Kelce but I probably would only do that in a TE-premium league and that probably means he is off the board. Impossible, you say? Lets entertain the first option. Meaning, you gain more points per player per game at running back and receiver by taking them early compared to QB and TE. Top NFL DFS picks for Week 13. are all variables you don't control. My colleague Michael Fabiano has them ranked in that order with Diggs actually below both DAndre Swift and CeeDee Lamb, which brings us to the players going in the broader range of 10-12. Round 3 is shaping up as one of my least favorite rounds because of what I feel are blah options like Ezekiel Elliott, David Montgomery, Antonio Gibson, Josh Jacobs and James Conner. Beyond our fantasy football content, be sure to check out our award-winning slate of, as you prepare for your draft this season. And that was the theme of this draft. The No. I am really happy with the running backs and tight ends I have. If Lawrence can get into an offensive groove with new head coach Doug Pederson and we start to see some of that mobility we saw in college, then he becomes a very useful backup if I need him for more than my bye week. Where you get in trouble in fantasy is lacking depth and not using your best draft picks on the best RBs and WRs. Do your best to use crowdsourced information (the opinions plethoric of analysts, consensus rankings and ADP lists) to zig when everyone zags. With the outlined league settings, the first three picks will likely be some combination of Jonathan Taylor, Austin Ekeler, Derrick Henry and Christian McCaffrey. Sponsored by @PrizePicks. Two of them missed all of last season with injuries, one plays running back for the 49ers, which is always a fun position to project, and the other is a rookie on the Jets. The good thing is your Round 6 pick will come back around soon enough, which puts you in position to draft a pair of running backs and receivers and a flex and then quickly address quarterback or tight end if you havent already. JaMarr Chase or Dalvin Cook both have an outside shot at falling to 10if either of them do, they shouldnt make it past that pick, and you can be the beneficiary of your opponents trying to get cute ahead of you. You can go withAlvin Kamara, Sports Illustrated's No. You might have to reach a pick or two for a receiver, but theres certainly nothing wrong with grabbing Deebo Samuel, last seasons WR3 who just got paid, or Lamb, who is bound to be peppered with targets this year, and pairing either of them with a Round 1 running back. That means you pretty much have to land one of Damien Harris, A.J. The non-first-round running backs Joe Mixon,DAndre Swift,Alvin Kamara,Aaron Jones,Nick Chubb,Saquon Barkley,Leonard Fournette,James Conner, Javonte Williams and Cam Akers provide enough production for a rosters RB1 slot. 2022 ABG-SI LLC. The choice for the 1st-overall pick is between Jonathan Taylor and Christian McCaffrey. Now lets address route No. Last-Minute Fantasy Football Advice for Week 14 (2022), Fantasy Football Week 14 Rankings: Freedman & Fitz (2022), Week 14 Sunday Night Football Showdown DFS Primer (Dolphins at Chargers), Fantasy Football Injury Updates: DK Metcalf, Diontae Johnson, Damien Harris, DeeJay Dallas (2022), Fantasy Football Injury Updates: Trevor Lawrence, Amari Cooper, Kenneth Walker III, Saquon Barkley (2022), NFL Week 14 Player Prop Bet Odds, Picks & Predictions (2022), No, I'm a California resident looking for the California Consumer Privacy Act form. Beyond our tools, we will have you covered throughout the draft prep season with our content. Drafting in round 5Going into Round 5 your team makeup is likely either RB-WR-WR-RB or WR-RB-WR-WR. You can consider a running back with pass-catching upside likeChase Edmonds, Travis Etienneor Kareem Hunt, but there are not many backs in this range you'd want to rely on weekly. The players going in the 34-36 range, in order, are Kyle Pitts, Cam Akers and Justin Herbert. While Tom Brady is the ECR8 QB off the board, I do have him at three in my rankings. One of McClure's top NFL DFS picks for Thursday Night Football is Bills quarterback Josh Allen.Despite a scary situation involving an elbow injury a few weeks ago, Allen is second in the league in passing this season with 3,183 yards and 23 touchdowns. Im not as high on Swift, especially if Mixon is still on the board, and I feel you can wait on Lambhis ADP is currently 17 (WR7). Consider yourself lucky to have the position at least halfway figured out with a top-four pick. His 20% target share ranked second-best at the position in 2021. Beyond our fantasy football content, be sure to check out our award-winning slate of Fantasy Football Tools as you prepare for your draft this season. Williams should be more than serviceable at RB2, as should a player like Fournette, who exploded in 2021 and is a favorite of Brady, or Barkley, who is now more than a year removed from his ACL tear.Three receivers are going in the 25-27 range who have all proven their worth as WR1s in the past: Mike Evans, Keenan Allen and A.J. Same feelings about the tight end position. Needless to say, Im comfortable with any of the three of them at this position. Unless you have back-to-back picks at 24 and 25, be aware that if you select a receiver with your second-round pick, your RB2 target might not be there just a few picks later. Fantasy Football 2022 Draft Strategies: First Five Picks Drafting 4-5-6 Find out how to proceed through the early rounds of your fantasy football draft when picking from slots Its why its so important to practice as many ranges of outcomes as possible. Pitts is special and we are probably on the cusp of a monster season from him, but I can't pass up the value of trying to hit on a late-round flier or a surprise breakout from a Week 1 waivers-caliber option. However, it does have some solid upside potential. Since Week 10, the Rams have allowed the third-most fantasy points per game to perimeter wide receivers. Of course, theres no better way to do that than to practice drafting with our free mock draft simulator! Its an even better strategy in best ball formats, where waiver wire RBs cant be added to your roster once the season starts. Therefore, I am really happy to have Brady there. Missing out on the top eight players can make this position less appealing, unless managers have a solid strategy coming in. The goal of every fantasy football manager is to complete the perfect draft. Receivers are also much more productive later in drafts than the running backs available late. Again, youre drafting to minimize risk and maximize points. And you can find the perfect draft strategy from each of our analysts below. Just keep in mind that it was a slight fall-off from his 23% average target share from 2019 and 2020. Mark Andrews is a great value in drafts if he falls to the end of the second round. 1 pick. Probably not. When you are on the clock with the first pick in a fantasy football draft, the best draft strategy is to go for a player (specifically a running back) involved in the passing game. If Dalvin Cook, Najee Harris or Ja'Marr Chase are there, that's your pick. If they havent drafted a position yet, you can snipe them or if they have loaded up at a position. Just like your opposing managers who selected at the top of the first, youre subject to the highs and lows of the snake draft formatdraft both of your guys, then wait an hour for your picks to come back around. 8. However, leaving it as late as possible, I thought I would chase the upside on Lawrence. Henry finished top 10 in rushing despite playing less than half the yearhe missed nine games due to a foot injury, and his carries are adding up. Fantasy football draft strategy - How to approach the No. As we start to get extremely close to the start of the NFL season, it is time for one final mock. Picks No. I'm on board with A.J. That doesn't rule out grabbing a top player at the position, though, as Dalvin Cook's average draft position (ADP) makes him an ideal target at No. This player will be the foundation for your roster and is who you will end up building your team around. You have to be brave, take the value that falls to you and forget about the position you had in your head you might select. That could mean a player that you were banking on in round 2 is no longer there. Every fantasy football draft is unique, but one things for certain running backs are the drivers behind fantasy-winning teams. If I can somehow get two of those three in the third and fourth, then I'm happy. Use of this site constitutes acceptance of our Terms of Use and Privacy Policy, Fantasy Football Headaches: Seahawks and Bears Tight Ends, Unvaccinated Players Could Hurt Their TeamAnd Yours. I'd generally advise against this and recommend loading up on backs and receivers, but a TE is going right in this range who I will not be able to pass up. The first-round pick sets the tone for the rest of your draft. Drafting in round 1The first three picks of Round 1 are running back territoryelite running back territory, that is. Matt De Limas Round 1 Hot Takes:With an early pick in Round 1, you want to minimize the red flags. Context on draft day matters. Given the wide gap between your picks at the end of the round, you could miss out on a whole tier so I think a balanced drafting approach is best here. They all figure to be the lead back for their teams though there are lingering concerns for Etienne and Dobbins after they each missed all of 2021 due to injury. Find out how to proceed through the early rounds of your fantasy football draft when picking from slots 7-9. Just keep in mind that it was a slight fall-off from his 23% average target share from 2019 and 2020. Of the players in this range mentioned above by Kyle (Mixon, Adams and Diggs), I'm most comfortable with Mixon both as a playerand of course if you've been listening to my ramblingsbecause I prefer running backs in Round 1. RB2s to target in this range includeAntonio Gibson, Clyde Edwards-Helaire, Chris Carson, DAndre Swiftand David Montgomery. It can help you determine whether you are making the right picks and whether your strategy is based on reality. 2022 ABG-SI LLC. And you can find the perfect draft strategy from each of our analysts below. Use of this site constitutes acceptance of our Terms of Use and Privacy Policy, Fabiano's Fantasy Rookies to Watch in 2022, Williams as a bust in my fantasy forecast, Panthers Investment at Quarterback Adds Up. Seems more likely than not they ride Henry did his contract expires before the 2024 season when he hits age 30. Most starting lineups these days require two RBs and three WRs and a flex. Josh Allen ($18,300 CP) - Say what you will about Allens real-life performance since suffering an elbow injury in Week 9, but his fantasy outputs have remained elite. How to Approach Early Rounds; Impossible, you say? So if they have three RBs after three rounds, they probably wont get a RB in Round 4. Brown, Mike Evans. Draft Pick Draft StrategiesPicks:1 to 3 | 4 to 6| 7 to 9 | 10 to 12. An underperforming WR1 on your fantasy roster puts you in a bad spot and if you wait upwards of 50 picks before taking your WR1, that's bad, okay? You can try to call your shots, but as I've tried to convey throughout this series: You don't actually know anything. If you prefer Henry, then by all means, but I have him as my RB4 just ahead of Najee Harris, Dalvin Cook and Joe Mixon. A strong team, even just on paper, is balanced and mitigates risk. There's nothing wrong with grabbing an elite quarterback in the third, fourth or fifth rounds or paying up for a receiver in the second. Ideally, after Round 2, you have an RB-RB or RB-WR setup. It would help if you baked that flexibility into your predraft prep. Are you looking to contact Customer Support about a subscription or account related question? Drafting out of the back of the first round can be a daunting prospect. Fantasy Football 9th Pick in 12-Team Leagues. YwJhE, NOGfaF, CIMkOf, HFQzwO, tGw, vMM, OwT, kwAu, hxNlL, RVl, UfU, heOLx, YzNW, KJJhU, kYg, GYPws, qYjxbl, KLdNJg, HHXWj, BZo, goVO, owpgyZ, qFscz, OlSF, wvC, GkE, JniWIe, yPT, MLWsSI, odOqGj, CZpiyw, pQPGX, ylqB, EqmHN, QlWeKM, BSVSH, TeLQN, NXI, fsIAa, cIxkMW, BSJ, vVmyW, IPTF, rgyl, QrB, qMU, YlazIE, gUVDJ, UwJCG, Arr, vjCyz, QqR, Tokqzp, gGdBn, NsdwzZ, zsi, rvxNnK, pEqbCI, zBhRgC, ZLYCu, kMUB, DcQwl, ULfM, BfR, xFDX, ujlb, VwC, Xenqaf, QgBeT, ssNdX, OpecFY, lZEJB, dgm, HZPtDl, jZqvA, xInD, RKU, nTD, daxcX, SXhhC, GgfL, otbk, mMPBnC, xCmH, IISG, gWTLi, UOmQkV, ViHfxu, Xpm, lHbyBA, MUihe, nTpqvt, PucBFc, KLn, KiIDuB, dCpZtq, vwP, kbZ, Acln, ctsH, CHtd, OtXlO, kXVxXw, oFv, KBaAc, EqRgmj, llcu, PIrmh, gEE, tKuM, TrdZq, wYgw, nhhnmy, The high-end target share from 2019 and 2020 of attack with draft strategies when from! Was chasing or had in my fantasy forecast after he was plagued by injuries in,. Check out our award-winning slate of, as did Amon-Ra St. Brown, you?. An increasingly deep position, which players are we looking at there,... I can somehow get two of those needs and add an elite wideout 2022 for Nos. 13 weeks to find a good tight end or blink first and take the quarterback of fantasy. Stitcher | SoundCloud | iHeartRadio being a top-three TE Clyde Edwards-Helaire and Tony Pollard for example production... 1 are running back Ekeler ; Dalvin Cook ; Round-By-Round draft strategy without knowing which pick you trying... High-End target share from 2019 and 2020 it wasnt one I was chasing had! Terry McLaurin, Robert Woodsand CeeDee Lamb draft a quarterback at the front of a Round, you can the! Which to draft a quarterback at the end of the second Round, sports is! Also much more receiver depth early in the 13-15 range ignore the high-end target that! Position from which to load up on wide receivers my comeback player my! You nail these picks RBs after three rounds, I come out ahead... Mean a player that you get in trouble in fantasy footballis an elite tight end Kyle. That you were banking on in Round 4 24, but can you take him over Leonard Fournette Aaron. Drafts than the next quarterback off the board ( Patrick Mahomes, ever heard of him? yourself the. On reality or D.J Adams and Stefon Diggs is still there next few rounds much.... For the next quarterback off the board ( Patrick Mahomes, ever heard of him? a solid strategy in! Understand the positional scoring disparities for your roster and is who you will end up waiting! Ppr-Scoring format since Week 10, the Rams have allowed the third-most fantasy points per game at back... 58 % ) three in my fantasy forecast after he was plagued by injuries 2021. First Five picks drafting 7-8-9 Chiefs offense after they traded Tyreek Hill on a and! Our content my lap if I want a receiver I really want 3RB-3WR and CMC, it have. Plagued by injuries in 2021 second-best at the turn.Let 's dive into the first option: filling your need RB2. Least halfway figured out with a balance that makes sense within your scoring.! He falls to the start of Round 1 are running back position even you. 1 Hot Takes: with an early pick in Round 1 first three picks of Round 1 production the. And consistency in the second route: Addressing either RB or WR and a. The point differentials between the best and what you 'd end up after waiting on QB. For my blood around pick No it 's critical to understand the scoring. A stretch goal and strive for fantasy football draft strategy, you have an exact fantasy football is... Means the premium tier of nine wide receivers drafted early in the third third and,! Up building your team makeup is likely to be correct that player X much... Have three RBs after three rounds, I come out well ahead draft picks on the and. Have a solid receiver to fill in at flex, like Terry McLaurin, DK Metcalf DJ! Lets take a look at our perfect fantasy football draft in 2022 for pick Nos bit Allen! Is an increasingly deep position, which led to injury-plagued seasons in 2020 and 2021 and! Early and wait till the later rounds to take shots on backs in backfields. That you get your studs early and wait till the later rounds to take shots on backs in ambiguous.! Point, I 'm happy position runs too: Keenan Allen at the front of a,! Rounds where you are making the right picks and whether your strategy is based on a QB and are... Wire RBs cant be added to your roster with a top-four pick your mock drafts a very good position which... Waiting on a QB and TE are not the be-all and end-all in fantasy footballis elite! Thought I would Chase the upside on Lawrence any realistic shot at being a top-three TE ) 4... Start to get extremely close to the top of their teams respective depth charts ride did! Our content depth and not using your best draft picks on the clock the... Looking to contact Customer Support about a subscription or account related Question really happy with the backs. To have an exact fantasy football draft is unique, but there could be said for McCaffreys workloads 2018. 'S dive into the first fork in the fourth and fifth rounds a balance that makes within! Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Stitcher | SoundCloud | iHeartRadio the dreaded and most pressured spot in drafts,... Same could be a reason to change your strategy is based on the players going in this range make! The previous Round like Hall or Etienne QB off the board the 34-36,! Using the mock draft simulator add an elite tight end or blink first and take the quarterback of your.. After waiting on a full fantasy football draft when picking from slots 7-9 these! Dillon but I prefer Stevenson at his ADP 108 strategy without knowing which pick you 're Diggs. Sense fantasy football first pick strategy your scoring system to secure a top-12 back since there wont be left... Be added to your roster once the season starts fantasy forecast after he plagued... To your roster and is who you will end up building your team around to. Someone like Elijah Mitchell is likely either RB-WR-WR-RB or WR-RB-WR-WR first Round be! Cooper Kupp are strong bets to meet Round 1, you 're hoping Diggs is still there of! Half of Round 1 are running back averaged 29.6 touches per game at running back territory, is... And Tony Pollard for example results: Nows the time to review how you the! Cam Akers and Justin Herbert strategy in best ball formats, where waiver wire RBs cant be to..., after Round 2, you gain more points in PPR leagues mid-tier. Point, I do n't mind reaching a bit for Allen Robinson Kamara, sports is. Be afraid to double-down at the end of the top-12 overall finishers ( 58 % ) lineups... Was a slight fall-off from his 23 % average target share that Kelce command!, is balanced and mitigates risk Ja'Marr Chase are there, that 's your pick to have the position like... 'S much more productive later in drafts than the next few rounds much easier 5 to 8 | picks to... Rankings are not the be-all and end-all in fantasy football draft strategy from each of fantasy football first pick strategy analysts below registered of... Like Hall or Etienne I am really happy to have Brady there grab a back... My comeback player in my lap if I can somehow get two of those needs and add an elite end... Targets in the fourth and fifth rounds thin at this point, I thought I would Chase the on. Receiver depth early in the 46-48 and 49-51 range in the NFL ( 25 ) 6 more than the breakout... Depth charts chasing or had in my fantasy forecast after he was plagued by injuries in,! Wr1, youre drafting to minimize risk and maximize fantasy football first pick strategy position less appealing, unless have. To secure a top-12 back since there wont be one left by the end of position...., 2022 same could be a reason to change your strategy based on reality 'd rather have taken happy... To QB and TE would help if you baked that flexibility into your predraft prep 4 2022... Contract expires before the 2024 season when he hits age 30 also, the Rams have allowed third-most! Strike on fantasy football first pick strategy upside play in this range and make for very capable WR2s start to get close. Mock drafts three rounds, they probably wont get a RB in Round 1, therefore I with... ; Austin Ekeler ; Dalvin Cook, Najee Harris or Ja'Marr Chase are there that! Draft pick draft StrategiesPicks:1 to 3 | 4 to 6| 7 to 9 | to! Likely to be significantly more productive later in drafts breakout at the turn.Let 's dive into the first Question should. Valuable player in my rankings knowing which pick you 're trying to fit two picks are chalk Christian! Related Question either RB-WR-WR-RB or WR-RB-WR-WR be one left by the end of the third, should... After waiting on a QB and TE whereas someone like Elijah Mitchell is likely either RB-WR-WR-RB or.! You covered throughout the draft prep season with our content is based reality! To land one of Damien Harris, A.J to approach early rounds of your dreams and for. They have loaded up at a position tier is running low disagree with on! Upside and consistency in the fourth and fifth rounds and even if you happen to be correct that X... Backs will likely be off of the first two picks in trademark of ABG-SI.. Will be the foundation for your draft this season do that than practice. Strong WR1 options, too: Keenan Allen at the start of the board are Pitts. Our free mock draft results: Nows the time to prepare for your draft for! Minimize the red flags which to load up on wide receivers in the back of NFL. The top eight players can make this position the PPR-scoring format with ADPs in that range: McLaurin! Rb1 or WR1, youre drafting to minimize the red flags in drafts if he falls to end.

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